Deportivo Cuenca 3-0 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 5 Mar 2026

📅05/03/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.64
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.92
6+ Goals
8%
18.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.64 — our 31% vs market 30.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
Crosses 5.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Libertad
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.76 xG 1.10
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
258 Passes 248
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.07.2025 Libertad Libertad 2-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
08.03.2025 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 0-1 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
23.11.2024 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
28.05.2024 Libertad Libertad 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
12.08.2023 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 2-1 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
04.03.2023 Libertad Libertad 3-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
3-0
AWAY Libertad
1.59 xG 0.81
43% Ball Possession 57%
20 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
229 Passes 328
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Cuenca cruised past Libertad 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportivo Cuenca as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Cuenca had 43% of the ball to Libertad's 57%, shots finished 20-16, expected goals 1.59 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Cuenca and 1.33 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad?

Deportivo Cuenca 3-0 Libertad in the Copa Sudamericana on 05/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cuenca win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cuenca 45%, draw 26%, Libertad 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CSA More Copa Sudamericana
5 Mar 2026
01:00 Blooming vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo Analysis →
01:00 Caracas FC vs Metropolitan Analysis →
03:30 Sportivo Trinidense vs Club Olimpia Analysis →
03:30 Universidad Chile vs Palestino Analysis →
03:30 Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios Analysis →