Libertad vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Libertad v Deportivo Cuenca — Team-Based Signals
Libertad vs Deportivo Cuenca Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Libertad
EKV1
3-1
HT 0-1
Deportivo Cuenca
EKV1
Libertad 2-1 Deportivo Cuenca — Actual Match Statistics
Libertad edged past Deportivo Cuenca 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Libertad as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Libertad had 55% of the ball to Deportivo Cuenca's 45%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 1.38 to 1.03.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Libertad had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Libertad and 0.80 for Deportivo Cuenca.
What was the final score of Libertad vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Libertad 2-1 Deportivo Cuenca in the Ecuador - Premier on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Libertad vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Libertad 41%, draw 27%, Deportivo Cuenca 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.