Mushuc Runa 1-1 Uni. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 5 Jul 2025

Mushuc Runa
1-1 HT 1-1
Uni. Catolica
📅05/07/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2026

Mushuc Runa vs Uni. Catolica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
45%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.1
Over 2.5
63%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.0pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.1pp
45%
Away Win
36%
+9.1pp
37%
Under 2.5
44%
-6.7pp
63%
Over 2.5
56%
+6.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.6pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mushuc Runa v Uni. Catolica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mushuc Runa EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -15%
1.20/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.13
-23% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
255 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 81%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
19.8 Crosses 14.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6

Mushuc Runa vs Uni. Catolica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mushuc Runa
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Uni. Catolica
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.14 xG 1.74
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
189 Passes 325
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.03.2025 Uni. Catolica 1-1 HT 1-1 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
31.08.2024 Uni. Catolica 5-1 HT 2-1 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
22.05.2024 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 2-1 HT 2-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
26.11.2023 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 0-2 HT 0-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
10.06.2023 Uni. Catolica 3-2 HT 3-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
19.02.2022 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-2 HT 1-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1

Mushuc Runa 1-1 Uni. Catolica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mushuc Runa
1-1
AWAY Uni. Catolica
0.33 xG 1.99
23% Ball Possession 77%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
90 Passes 472
58% Pass Accuracy 89%
8 Box Touches 37
7 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mushuc Runa vs Uni. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mushuc Runa and Uni. Catolica couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Uni. Catolica at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Mushuc Runa had 23% of the ball to Uni. Catolica's 77%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.33 to 1.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uni. Catolica led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mushuc Runa and 2.33 for Uni. Catolica.

What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs Uni. Catolica?

Mushuc Runa 1-1 Uni. Catolica in the Ecuador - Premier on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs Uni. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 32%, draw 23%, Uni. Catolica 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Uni. Catolica), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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