Uni. Catolica 1-1 Mushuc Runa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 9 Mar 2025

Uni. Catolica
1-1 HT 1-1
Mushuc Runa
📅09/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2026

Uni. Catolica vs Mushuc Runa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.07
Over 2.5
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.4pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uni. Catolica v Mushuc Runa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mushuc Runa EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.93/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.44
+10% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 74%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
19.9 Crosses 19.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.7

Uni. Catolica vs Mushuc Runa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uni. Catolica
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Mushuc Runa
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.58 xG 1.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
325 Passes 198
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.08.2024 Uni. Catolica 5-1 HT 2-1 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
22.05.2024 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 2-1 HT 2-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
26.11.2023 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 0-2 HT 0-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
10.06.2023 Uni. Catolica 3-2 HT 3-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
19.02.2022 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-2 HT 1-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
23.10.2021 Uni. Catolica 0-1 HT 0-1 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1

Uni. Catolica 1-1 Mushuc Runa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uni. Catolica
1-1
AWAY Mushuc Runa
2.63 xG 1.35
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
408 Passes 172
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 32
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Uni. Catolica vs Mushuc Runa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uni. Catolica and Mushuc Runa shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Uni. Catolica at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Uni. Catolica had 65% of the ball to Mushuc Runa's 35%, shots finished 12-19, expected goals 2.63 to 1.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uni. Catolica had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Uni. Catolica and 1.17 for Mushuc Runa.

What was the final score of Uni. Catolica vs Mushuc Runa?

Uni. Catolica 1-1 Mushuc Runa in the Ecuador - Premier on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uni. Catolica vs Mushuc Runa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Uni. Catolica 51%, draw 25%, Mushuc Runa 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Uni. Catolica), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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