Macara 1-1 Aucas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 9 Mar 2025

Macara
1-1 HT 0-1
Aucas
📅09/03/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.7pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.9pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macara EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Aucas EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.34/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.22
-30% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
256 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
15.7 Crosses 16.3
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macara
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Aucas
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.28 xG 1.55
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
181 Passes 290
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2024 Aucas Aucas 3-1 HT 1-1 Macara Macara EKV1
28.04.2024 Macara Macara 0-2 HT 0-1 Aucas Aucas EKV1
21.08.2022 Macara Macara 1-1 HT 0-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
12.04.2022 Aucas Aucas 2-0 HT 1-0 Macara Macara EKV1
20.11.2021 Aucas Aucas 2-4 HT 2-3 Macara Macara EKV1
30.05.2021 Macara Macara 1-0 HT 0-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macara
1-1
AWAY Aucas
1.52 xG 0.81
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
275 Passes 261
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Macara vs Aucas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macara and Aucas shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Macara had 50% of the ball to Aucas's 50%, shots finished 19-18, expected goals 1.52 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aucas led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Macara and 1.67 for Aucas.

What was the final score of Macara vs Aucas?

Macara 1-1 Aucas in the Ecuador - Premier on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macara vs Aucas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Macara 34%, draw 31%, Aucas 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aucas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aucas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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