First Vienna 7-3 St. Pölten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2024

First Vienna
7-3 HT 5-0
St. Pölten
📅05/04/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2023/2024

First Vienna vs St. Pölten Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.66
No
61%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.46
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
3.44
6+ Goals
7%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 33% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.96
1/2
5%
27.0
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
11%
5.87
X/2
10%
5.32
X/X
19%
4.66
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
19%
3.45
2/X
5%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
56%
-17.6pp
61%
BTTS No
44%
+17.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

First Vienna v St. Pölten — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME First Vienna EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
1.20/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/2.23
-31% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
29.0 Crosses 17.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

First Vienna vs St. Pölten Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME First Vienna
1W-1D-4L
AWAY St. Pölten
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.09.2023 St. Pölten St. Pölten 1-2 HT 0-0 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
07.04.2023 St. Pölten St. Pölten 3-1 HT 0-0 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
05.08.2022 First Vienna First Vienna 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
10.05.2014 St. Pölten St. Pölten 1-0 HT 1-0 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
25.03.2014 First Vienna First Vienna 1-2 HT 0-2 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
25.10.2013 First Vienna First Vienna 1-2 HT 0-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2

First Vienna 7-3 St. Pölten — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME First Vienna
7-3
AWAY St. Pölten
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH First Vienna vs St. Pölten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

First Vienna cruised past St. Pölten 7-3. Half-time: 5-0. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day First Vienna made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, First Vienna had 52% of the ball to St. Pölten's 48%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Pölten led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for First Vienna and 1.67 for St. Pölten.

What was the final score of First Vienna vs St. Pölten?

First Vienna 7-3 St. Pölten in the Austria - 1st Division on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for First Vienna vs St. Pölten?

Before kick-off our model rated a First Vienna win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split First Vienna 37%, draw 29%, St. Pölten 34%. The final score 7-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (First Vienna) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (First Vienna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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