Stripfing 1-2 FC Liefering — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.43
Over 2.5
60%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.96
4-5 Goals
32%
2.73
6+ Goals
10%
6.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.74
1/2
8%
20.3
1/X
8%
13.95
X/1
8%
8.75
X/2
6%
4.45
X/X
7%
6.07
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
33%
2.27
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.6
Value flag · 2/X at 13.6 — our 10% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+3.6pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.9pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-5.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.5pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stripfing EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Liefering EU Bookmakers 57%
+61% / +61% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
2.71/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.48/1.24
+121% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
195 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.3
Crosses 21.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stripfing
1W-0D-0L
AWAY FC Liefering
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.07 xG 0.31
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
316 Passes 309
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2023 FC Liefering FC Liefering 1-2 HT 0-1 Stripfing Stripfing AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stripfing
1-2
AWAY FC Liefering
0.80 xG 1.49
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 10
8 Corners 9
156 Passes 267
57% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 40
19 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stripfing vs FC Liefering
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Liefering nicked a narrow win over Stripfing 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Liefering as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Stripfing had 42% of the ball to FC Liefering's 58%, shots finished 13-21, expected goals 0.80 to 1.49.

What was the final score of Stripfing vs FC Liefering?

Stripfing 1-2 FC Liefering in the Austria - 1st Division on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stripfing vs FC Liefering?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Liefering win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Stripfing 28%, draw 24%, FC Liefering 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Liefering), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Liefering) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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