SV Horn 2-1 Lafnitz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
3.06
6+ Goals
11%
9.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.18
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.7
X/1
12%
5.26
X/2
6%
6.22
X/X
11%
5.14
2/1
11%
24.45
2/2
18%
4.02
2/X
8%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.9pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Horn EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lafnitz EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.60/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.34
+0% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.1 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Horn
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Lafnitz
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2023 Lafnitz Lafnitz 2-0 HT 1-0 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
07.04.2023 SV Horn SV Horn 1-2 HT 1-2 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
30.10.2022 Lafnitz Lafnitz 1-1 HT 1-0 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
18.03.2022 SV Horn SV Horn 2-1 HT 1-0 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
27.08.2021 Lafnitz Lafnitz 5-1 HT 2-1 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
12.03.2021 Lafnitz Lafnitz 3-2 HT 0-1 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
POST-MATCH SV Horn vs Lafnitz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Horn edged past Lafnitz 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had SV Horn as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lafnitz led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for SV Horn and 2.33 for Lafnitz.

What was the final score of SV Horn vs Lafnitz?

SV Horn 2-1 Lafnitz in the Austria - 1st Division on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Horn vs Lafnitz?

Before kick-off our model rated a SV Horn win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split SV Horn 42%, draw 27%, Lafnitz 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Horn), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SV Horn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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