Kapfenberger SV 1-3 Ried — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.13
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
44%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.76
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.24
6+ Goals
13%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.41
1/2
7%
22.3
1/X
7%
15.7
X/1
10%
9.78
X/2
15%
3.94
X/X
17%
5.46
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.12
2/X
6%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+4.7pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.6pp
44%
Away Win
55%
-11.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Ried EU Bookmakers 60%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.10/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.18
-9% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +3%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 82%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
11.2 Crosses 25.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapfenberger SV
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Ried
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
208 Passes 393
65% Pass Accuracy 80%
6 Box Touches 29
9 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 1
17.09.2023 Ried Ried 2-0 HT 1-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
14.06.2020 Ried Ried 5-0 HT 2-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
30.08.2019 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 2-3 HT 0-2 Ried Ried AU2
08.03.2019 Ried Ried 0-0 HT 0-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
11.08.2018 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-2 HT 0-0 Ried Ried AU2
25.05.2018 Ried Ried 7-1 HT 2-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
POST-MATCH Kapfenberger SV vs Ried
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ried saw off Kapfenberger SV 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ried as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ried led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kapfenberger SV and 3.17 for Ried.

What was the final score of Kapfenberger SV vs Ried?

Kapfenberger SV 1-3 Ried in the Austria - 1st Division on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapfenberger SV vs Ried?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ried win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kapfenberger SV 26%, draw 30%, Ried 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ried), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ried) ✓ BTTS Yes
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