Charlton Athletic 2-2 Lincoln City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.68
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.37
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.6
X/1
20%
4.04
X/2
8%
9.37
X/X
12%
4.15
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
8%
8.44
2/X
9%
17.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.8pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lincoln City EU Bookmakers 22%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.52/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.27
-2% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 71%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
21.0 Crosses 15.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlton Athletic
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Lincoln City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.11 xG 0.92
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
346 Passes 236
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.12.2024 Lincoln City Lincoln City 0-0 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
13.02.2024 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
24.10.2023 Lincoln City Lincoln City 3-1 HT 1-1 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
07.01.2023 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-1 HT 2-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
08.10.2022 Lincoln City Lincoln City 0-0 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
02.04.2022 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-2 HT 0-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlton Athletic
2-2
AWAY Lincoln City
1.47 xG 0.49
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
233 Passes 123
70% Pass Accuracy 55%
19 Box Touches 10
25 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Charlton Athletic vs Lincoln City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlton Athletic and Lincoln City shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Charlton Athletic at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Charlton Athletic had 60% of the ball to Lincoln City's 40%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 1.47 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lincoln City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Charlton Athletic and 1.17 for Lincoln City.

What was the final score of Charlton Athletic vs Lincoln City?

Charlton Athletic 2-2 Lincoln City in the England - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlton Athletic vs Lincoln City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlton Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Charlton Athletic 50%, draw 28%, Lincoln City 22%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Charlton Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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