Stevenage vs Crawley Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stevenage v Crawley Town — Team-Based Signals
Stevenage vs Crawley Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Crawley Town
İN2
1-2
HT 0-1
Stevenage
İN2
2-2
HT 1-0
Stevenage
İN2
2-1
HT 1-1
Crawley Town
İN2
3-3
HT 1-1
Crawley Town
İN2
Stevenage 3-1 Crawley Town — Actual Match Statistics
Stevenage saw off Crawley Town 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Stevenage as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Stevenage had 31% of the ball to Crawley Town's 69%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.87 to 0.46.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stevenage had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Stevenage and 1.83 for Crawley Town.
What was the final score of Stevenage vs Crawley Town?
Stevenage 3-1 Crawley Town in the England - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stevenage vs Crawley Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stevenage win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stevenage 43%, draw 29%, Crawley Town 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stevenage) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.