05/04/2025
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Frome Town vs Chertsey Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Under 2.5
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
31%
Draw
26%
28%
Away Win
37%
55%
Under 2.5
45%
45%
Over 2.5
55%
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
49%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Frome Town v Chertsey Town — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Frome Town
EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY
Chertsey Town
EU Bookmakers 40%
-21% /
-21%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+5% /
+5%
0.91/1.13
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.49/1.80
-37%
/
+26%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+4%
/
-20%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
277 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
288 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
2.1
Frome Town vs Chertsey Town Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Frome Town
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Chertsey Town
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
49%
Ball Possession
51%
9
Total Shots
16
3
Shots on Target
7
5
Corners
3
3
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Frome Town vs Chertsey Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Chertsey Town nicked a narrow win over Frome Town 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 28% — and on the day Chertsey Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Frome Town vs Chertsey Town?
Frome Town 0-1 Chertsey Town in the England - Non League Premier on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Frome Town vs Chertsey Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Frome Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Frome Town 40%, draw 31%, Chertsey Town 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Frome Town), BTTS Yes went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Frome Town)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İNGNLP
More England - Non League Premier
5 Apr 2025