Chertsey Town 1-1 Frome Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.29
Over 2.5
48%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.5
No OUR CALL
56%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.5pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
62%
-18.2pp
56%
BTTS No
38%
+18.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chertsey Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Frome Town EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chertsey Town
1-1
AWAY Frome Town
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chertsey Town vs Frome Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chertsey Town and Frome Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chertsey Town had 51% of the ball to Frome Town's 49%, shots finished 16-9.

What was the final score of Chertsey Town vs Frome Town?

Chertsey Town 1-1 Frome Town in the England - Non League Premier on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chertsey Town vs Frome Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chertsey Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chertsey Town 38%, draw 28%, Frome Town 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chertsey Town), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chertsey Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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