Gloucester City 3-3 Dorchester Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.8pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gloucester City EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorchester Town EU Bookmakers 33%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +26%
1.32/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.23
-17% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
291 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gloucester City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Dorchester Town
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
24.08.2024 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Gloucester City Gloucester City İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Gloucester City vs Dorchester Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gloucester City and Dorchester Town shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Gloucester City at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Gloucester City vs Dorchester Town?

Gloucester City 3-3 Dorchester Town in the England - Non League Premier on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gloucester City vs Dorchester Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gloucester City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gloucester City 47%, draw 24%, Dorchester Town 29%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Gloucester City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gloucester City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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