Dorchester Town 1-0 Gloucester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-4.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.7pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorchester Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Gloucester City EU Bookmakers 45%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.70/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/3.00
+14% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +100% / -50%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Dorchester Town vs Gloucester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorchester Town squeezed past Gloucester City 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Dorchester Town made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Dorchester Town vs Gloucester City?

Dorchester Town 1-0 Gloucester City in the England - Non League Premier on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorchester Town vs Gloucester City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorchester Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Dorchester Town 37%, draw 26%, Gloucester City 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dorchester Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dorchester Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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