24/08/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
2-2
Dorchester Town vs Gloucester City Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
26%
Draw
26%
36%
Away Win
40%
45%
Under 2.5
41%
55%
Over 2.5
59%
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
47%
BTTS No
37%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dorchester Town v Gloucester City — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Dorchester Town
EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Gloucester City
EU Bookmakers 45%
+7% /
+5%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+2% /
+2%
1.70/1.50
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
3.00/3.00
+14%
/
-4%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+100%
/
-50%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
12
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
4
316 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
316 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Dorchester Town vs Gloucester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Dorchester Town squeezed past Gloucester City 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Dorchester Town made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Dorchester Town vs Gloucester City?
Dorchester Town 1-0 Gloucester City in the England - Non League Premier on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dorchester Town vs Gloucester City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Dorchester Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Dorchester Town 37%, draw 26%, Gloucester City 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dorchester Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Dorchester Town)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İNGNLP
More England - Non League Premier
24 Aug 2024