Macclesfield 3-2 Workington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home OUR CALL
68%
1.25
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Macclesfield win — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
75%
-7.4pp
17%
Draw
14%
+2.9pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+4.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macclesfield EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Workington EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
2.65/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.88
+17% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -24%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
381 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macclesfield
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Workington
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
30.11.2024 Workington Workington 0-1 HT 0-0 Macclesfield Macclesfield İNGNLP
19.12.2023 Workington Workington 0-0 HT 0-0 Macclesfield Macclesfield İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Macclesfield vs Workington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macclesfield nicked a narrow win over Workington 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Macclesfield as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Macclesfield had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Macclesfield and 0.00 for Workington.

What was the final score of Macclesfield vs Workington?

Macclesfield 3-2 Workington in the England - Non League Premier on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macclesfield vs Workington?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macclesfield win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Macclesfield 68%, draw 17%, Workington 15%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macclesfield), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Macclesfield) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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