Poole Town 1-0 Marlow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home OUR CALL
61%
1.34
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Poole Town win — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
70%
-9.3pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.3pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Poole Town EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Marlow EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.42/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/3.45
-38% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -38%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
404 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Poole Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Marlow
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
24.08.2024 Marlow Marlow 1-2 HT 1-2 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Poole Town vs Marlow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Poole Town nicked a narrow win over Marlow 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Poole Town as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Poole Town vs Marlow?

Poole Town 1-0 Marlow in the England - Non League Premier on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Poole Town vs Marlow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Poole Town win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Poole Town 61%, draw 23%, Marlow 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Poole Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Poole Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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