24/08/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-2
Marlow vs Poole Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS Yes — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Over 2.5
BTTS Yes
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
28%
Draw
26%
32%
Away Win
34%
46%
Under 2.5
42%
54%
Over 2.5
58%
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
45%
BTTS No
38%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marlow v Poole Town — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Marlow
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Poole Town
EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% /
-2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-5% /
-7%
1.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.78/1.86
-36%
/
+36%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+25%
/
-20%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
13
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
335 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
370 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.1
POST-MATCH
Marlow vs Poole Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Poole Town nicked a narrow win over Marlow 2-1 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Poole Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Marlow vs Poole Town?
Marlow 1-2 Poole Town in the England - Non League Premier on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marlow vs Poole Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marlow win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Marlow 40%, draw 28%, Poole Town 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Marlow) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Marlow)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP
More England - Non League Premier
24 Aug 2024