Ipswich Town 1-2 Wolverhampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.57
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
4.4
6+ Goals
10%
22.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.22
1/2
11%
32.5
1/X
9%
13.75
X/1
12%
5.78
X/2
13%
5.46
X/X
13%
4.02
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
15%
3.86
2/X
10%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
35%
-5.9pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.1pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 40%
-14% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
0.91/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.35
-53% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
372 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
18.3 Crosses 15.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ipswich Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Wolverhampton
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.72 xG 1.60
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
300 Passes 378
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
14.12.2024 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-2 HT 0-1 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNP
26.09.2023 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 3-2 HT 2-2 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNLK
27.01.2018 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNCL
23.12.2017 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-0 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
07.03.2017 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNCL
16.08.2016 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-0 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ipswich Town
1-2
AWAY Wolverhampton
0.80 xG 2.71
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
244 Passes 333
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 40
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ipswich Town vs Wolverhampton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolverhampton squeezed past Ipswich Town 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; Wolverhampton found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ipswich Town had 44% of the ball to Wolverhampton's 56%, shots finished 6-22, expected goals 0.80 to 2.71 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Wolverhampton's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ipswich Town and 0.83 for Wolverhampton.

What was the final score of Ipswich Town vs Wolverhampton?

Ipswich Town 1-2 Wolverhampton in the England - Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ipswich Town vs Wolverhampton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wolverhampton win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ipswich Town 29%, draw 31%, Wolverhampton 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolverhampton), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wolverhampton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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