West Ham United vs Bournemouth Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
West Ham United v Bournemouth — Team-Based Signals
West Ham United vs Bournemouth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
West Ham United
İNP
0-4
HT 0-3
West Ham United
İNP
2-0
HT 1-0
Bournemouth
İNP
West Ham United 2-2 Bournemouth — Actual Match Statistics
West Ham United and Bournemouth shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Bournemouth at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, West Ham United had 56% of the ball to Bournemouth's 44%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.69 to 2.12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, West Ham United had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for West Ham United and 0.50 for Bournemouth.
What was the final score of West Ham United vs Bournemouth?
West Ham United 2-2 Bournemouth in the England - Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for West Ham United vs Bournemouth?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bournemouth win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split West Ham United 33%, draw 23%, Bournemouth 45%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bournemouth) went the other way.