IF Karlstad 1-1 Assyriska — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.5pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IF Karlstad EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Assyriska EU Bookmakers 26%
-13% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
2.19/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/2.40
+16% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IF Karlstad
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Assyriska
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2024 Assyriska Assyriska 0-3 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
16.06.2024 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 2-2 HT 2-1 Assyriska Assyriska İSÇ3
28.08.2021 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 4-0 HT 3-0 Assyriska Assyriska İSÇ3
18.04.2021 Assyriska Assyriska 1-3 HT 0-1 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IF Karlstad
1-1
AWAY Assyriska
63% Ball Possession 37%
4 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH IF Karlstad vs Assyriska
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IF Karlstad and Assyriska shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was IF Karlstad at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, IF Karlstad had 63% of the ball to Assyriska's 37%, shots finished 4-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, IF Karlstad had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for IF Karlstad and 0.75 for Assyriska.

What was the final score of IF Karlstad vs Assyriska?

IF Karlstad 1-1 Assyriska in the Sweden - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IF Karlstad vs Assyriska?

Before kick-off our model rated a IF Karlstad win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split IF Karlstad 45%, draw 25%, Assyriska 30%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (IF Karlstad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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