Varbergs GIF 1-0 Qviding FIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.34
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
57%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
11%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
38%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
15%
+9.3pp
18%
Draw
19%
-0.5pp
57%
Away Win
66%
-8.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.6pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varbergs GIF EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Qviding FIF EU Bookmakers 70%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.31/2.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.24/1.66
+109% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -36%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
242 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varbergs GIF
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Qviding FIF
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Qviding FIF Qviding FIF 2-1 HT 1-1 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
21.04.2024 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 2-0 HT 1-0 Qviding FIF Qviding FIF İSÇ4
03.09.2023 Qviding FIF Qviding FIF 3-4 HT 1-1 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
07.05.2023 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 0-2 HT 0-0 Qviding FIF Qviding FIF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Varbergs GIF vs Qviding FIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varbergs GIF nicked a narrow win over Qviding FIF 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Qviding FIF carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Varbergs GIF and 1.75 for Qviding FIF.

What was the final score of Varbergs GIF vs Qviding FIF?

Varbergs GIF 1-0 Qviding FIF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varbergs GIF vs Qviding FIF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Qviding FIF win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Varbergs GIF 25%, draw 18%, Qviding FIF 57%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Qviding FIF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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