Cultural Leonesa 1-0 Arenteiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No OUR CALL
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
4.22
6+ Goals
11%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.6pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural Leonesa EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Arenteiro EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
1.49/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.19
-8% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cultural Leonesa
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Arenteiro
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.08.2024 Arenteiro Arenteiro 0-1 HT 0-1 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS3
10.02.2024 Arenteiro Arenteiro 1-0 HT 0-0 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS3
21.10.2023 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 1-0 HT 1-0 Arenteiro Arenteiro İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cultural Leonesa
1-0
AWAY Arenteiro
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Cultural Leonesa vs Arenteiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural Leonesa nicked a narrow win over Arenteiro 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cultural Leonesa as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cultural Leonesa had 64% of the ball to Arenteiro's 36%, shots finished 14-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cultural Leonesa had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cultural Leonesa and 0.33 for Arenteiro.

What was the final score of Cultural Leonesa vs Arenteiro?

Cultural Leonesa 1-0 Arenteiro in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural Leonesa vs Arenteiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cultural Leonesa win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Cultural Leonesa 51%, draw 26%, Arenteiro 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cultural Leonesa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cultural Leonesa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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