Sestao River vs Gimnastic Tarragona Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sestao River v Gimnastic Tarragona — Team-Based Signals
Sestao River vs Gimnastic Tarragona Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Sestao River
İS3
1-2
HT 1-0
Gimnastic Tarragona
İS3
Sestao River 3-2 Gimnastic Tarragona — Actual Match Statistics
Sestao River nicked a narrow win over Gimnastic Tarragona 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Sestao River found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sestao River had 45% of the ball to Gimnastic Tarragona's 55%, shots finished 12-12.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gimnastic Tarragona led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Sestao River and 1.00 for Gimnastic Tarragona.
What was the final score of Sestao River vs Gimnastic Tarragona?
Sestao River 3-2 Gimnastic Tarragona in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sestao River vs Gimnastic Tarragona?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sestao River win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sestao River 37%, draw 31%, Gimnastic Tarragona 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sestao River) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.