Barakaldo 0-0 Athletic Bilbao II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.53
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
4.27
6+ Goals
9%
22.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.4pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barakaldo EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
1.42/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.45
+12% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barakaldo
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.01.2025 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 0-2 HT 0-0 Barakaldo Barakaldo İS3
24.03.2024 Barakaldo Barakaldo 1-2 HT 0-2 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS4
11.11.2023 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 2-1 HT 0-0 Barakaldo Barakaldo İS4
14.03.2021 Barakaldo Barakaldo 3-1 HT 2-1 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
03.01.2021 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 3-0 HT 1-0 Barakaldo Barakaldo İS3
14.12.2019 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 0-1 HT 0-1 Barakaldo Barakaldo İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barakaldo
0-0
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Barakaldo vs Athletic Bilbao II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barakaldo and Athletic Bilbao II played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Barakaldo had 52% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao II's 48%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Barakaldo and 1.33 for Athletic Bilbao II.

What was the final score of Barakaldo vs Athletic Bilbao II?

Barakaldo 0-0 Athletic Bilbao II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barakaldo vs Athletic Bilbao II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barakaldo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Barakaldo 38%, draw 29%, Athletic Bilbao II 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Barakaldo), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barakaldo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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