Fuenlabrada 1-1 Marbella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
5.27
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.9pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.8pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuenlabrada EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Marbella EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -20%
1.05/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.58
-17% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -28%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
234 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuenlabrada
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Marbella
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Marbella Marbella 1-1 HT 0-0 Fuenlabrada Fuenlabrada İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fuenlabrada
1-1
AWAY Marbella
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fuenlabrada vs Marbella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fuenlabrada and Marbella shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Fuenlabrada had 44% of the ball to Marbella's 56%, shots finished 15-13.

What was the final score of Fuenlabrada vs Marbella?

Fuenlabrada 1-1 Marbella in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuenlabrada vs Marbella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fuenlabrada win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fuenlabrada 39%, draw 29%, Marbella 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fuenlabrada), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fuenlabrada) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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