Etoile Carouge 7-0 Bellinzona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.84
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.78
6+ Goals
13%
16.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 33%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
1.73/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.39
+57% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
419 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
8.8 Crosses 16.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Carouge
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bellinzona
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.51 xG 0.96
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
452 Passes 287
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 16
9 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-0 HT 0-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
22.11.2024 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 2-2 HT 1-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
03.08.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-1 HT 1-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
06.03.2022 Bellinzona Bellinzona 4-1 HT 1-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
11.09.2021 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 2-4 HT 1-3 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV1Y
19.09.2020 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-3 HT 0-3 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etoile Carouge
7-0
AWAY Bellinzona
2.66 xG 0.54
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 1
401 Passes 356
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 13
10 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Etoile Carouge vs Bellinzona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Carouge cruised past Bellinzona 7-0. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Etoile Carouge as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 7-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Etoile Carouge had 52% of the ball to Bellinzona's 48%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 2.66 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bellinzona led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Etoile Carouge and 2.00 for Bellinzona.

What was the final score of Etoile Carouge vs Bellinzona?

Etoile Carouge 7-0 Bellinzona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Carouge vs Bellinzona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etoile Carouge win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Etoile Carouge 41%, draw 27%, Bellinzona 32%. The final score 7-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Etoile Carouge), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Etoile Carouge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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