Parma 2-2 Inter — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 5 Apr 2025

Parma
2-2 HT 0-2
Inter
📅05/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Parma vs Inter Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.34
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
52%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
10.8
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
22.45
1/X
8%
19.25
X/1
6%
12.95
X/2
19%
3.96
X/X
10%
6.13
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
22%
1.82
2/X
7%
16.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.45 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Over 2.5 — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
15%
+8.0pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.6pp
52%
Away Win
64%
-11.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.9pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Parma v Inter — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parma EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter EU Bookmakers 69%
+10% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.04/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/0.85
+34% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +20%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
278 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 464 · 86%
14.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.4
8.6 Crosses 21.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Parma vs Inter Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parma
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Inter
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.79 xG 2.21
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
279 Passes 519
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 39
9 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.12.2024 Inter Inter 3-1 HT 1-0 Parma Parma İTA
10.01.2023 Inter Inter 2-1 HT 0-1 Parma Parma İTK
04.03.2021 Parma Parma 1-2 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTA
31.10.2020 Inter Inter 2-2 HT 0-0 Parma Parma İTA
28.06.2020 Parma Parma 1-2 HT 1-0 Inter Inter İTA
26.10.2019 Inter Inter 2-2 HT 1-2 Parma Parma İTA

Parma 2-2 Inter — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parma
2-2
AWAY Inter
1.49 xG 2.07
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
314 Passes 544
85% Pass Accuracy 89%
15 Box Touches 33
11 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Parma vs Inter
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parma and Inter shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Inter at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Parma had 37% of the ball to Inter's 63%, shots finished 8-20, expected goals 1.49 to 2.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Parma and 2.17 for Inter.

What was the final score of Parma vs Inter?

Parma 2-2 Inter in the Italy - Serie A on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parma vs Inter?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Parma 23%, draw 24%, Inter 52%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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