SV Horn 0-1 FC Liefering — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
40%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
2.96
6+ Goals
11%
9.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.98
1/2
6%
21.7
1/X
7%
14.7
X/1
10%
8.27
X/2
16%
4.61
X/X
11%
5.61
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
19%
2.45
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.7
Value flag · 2/X at 13.7 — our 10% vs market 4.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+6.1pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
40%
Away Win
50%
-10.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.8pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Horn EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Liefering EU Bookmakers 55%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +0%
0.77/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.31
+8% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
154 · 55% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 76%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.6
11.4 Crosses 21.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Horn
3W-0D-3L
AWAY FC Liefering
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.26 xG 1.31
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
333 Passes 282
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 FC Liefering FC Liefering 0-1 HT 0-0 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
23.02.2024 FC Liefering FC Liefering 2-1 HT 0-0 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
22.08.2023 SV Horn SV Horn 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
10.03.2023 FC Liefering FC Liefering 3-1 HT 1-0 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
02.09.2022 SV Horn SV Horn 3-1 HT 1-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
22.05.2022 FC Liefering FC Liefering 4-1 HT 3-0 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
POST-MATCH SV Horn vs FC Liefering
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Liefering edged past SV Horn 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 28% / 40% — and on the day FC Liefering made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for SV Horn and 1.83 for FC Liefering.

What was the final score of SV Horn vs FC Liefering?

SV Horn 0-1 FC Liefering in the Austria - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Horn vs FC Liefering?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Liefering win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split SV Horn 31%, draw 28%, FC Liefering 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Liefering) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Liefering) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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