Criciuma 1-2 Operario PR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 5 Apr 2025

Criciuma
1-2 HT 1-1
Operario PR
📅05/04/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2025

Criciuma vs Operario PR Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.5
6+ Goals
8%
24.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.43 — our 35% vs market 33.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.4pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.6pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.0pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Criciuma v Operario PR — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Criciuma EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Operario PR EU Bookmakers 27%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +11%
1.54/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.12
+6% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +36%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
23.8 Crosses 18.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7

Criciuma vs Operario PR Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Criciuma
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Operario PR
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.56 xG 1.13
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
293 Passes 251
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
18.08.2022 Criciuma Criciuma 2-0 HT 1-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
07.05.2022 Operario PR Operario PR 2-0 HT 2-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
06.11.2019 Operario PR Operario PR 1-0 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
03.08.2019 Criciuma Criciuma 1-2 HT 1-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2

Criciuma 1-2 Operario PR — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Criciuma
1-2
AWAY Operario PR
1.10 xG 1.06
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
402 Passes 274
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Criciuma vs Operario PR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Operario PR squeezed past Criciuma 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Criciuma at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Criciuma had 58% of the ball to Operario PR's 42%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.10 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Operario PR led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Criciuma and 1.25 for Operario PR.

What was the final score of Criciuma vs Operario PR?

Criciuma 1-2 Operario PR in the Brazil - Serie B on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Criciuma vs Operario PR?

Before kick-off our model rated a Criciuma win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 46%, draw 31%, Operario PR 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Criciuma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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