Paysandu vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Paysandu v Atletico Paranaense — Team-Based Signals
Paysandu vs Atletico Paranaense Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Paysandu
BRK
0-0
HT 0-0
Atletico Paranaense
BRK
2-1
HT 1-1
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
2-0
HT 1-0
Paysandu
BR1
Paysandu 1-2 Atletico Paranaense — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Paranaense edged past Paysandu 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Atletico Paranaense made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Paysandu had 52% of the ball to Atletico Paranaense's 48%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.45 to 1.12.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Atletico Paranaense led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Paysandu and 1.25 for Atletico Paranaense.
What was the final score of Paysandu vs Atletico Paranaense?
Paysandu 1-2 Atletico Paranaense in the Brazil - Serie B on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Paysandu vs Atletico Paranaense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Paysandu win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Paysandu 38%, draw 26%, Atletico Paranaense 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.