Coritiba vs Vila Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Coritiba v Vila Nova — Team-Based Signals
Coritiba vs Vila Nova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Vila Nova
BR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Coritiba
BR2
2-2
HT 2-0
Coritiba
BR2
2-0
HT 1-0
Vila Nova
BR2
Coritiba 1-0 Vila Nova — Actual Match Statistics
Coritiba edged past Vila Nova 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Coritiba as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
On the day, Coritiba had 69% of the ball to Vila Nova's 31%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.39 to 0.20.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coritiba had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Coritiba and 0.50 for Vila Nova.
What was the final score of Coritiba vs Vila Nova?
Coritiba 1-0 Vila Nova in the Brazil - Serie B on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Coritiba vs Vila Nova?
Before kick-off our model rated a Coritiba win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Coritiba 48%, draw 26%, Vila Nova 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coritiba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.