Botev Vratsa 1-1 CSKA Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.18
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
57%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
11%
+9.3pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.4pp
57%
Away Win
70%
-13.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 75%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
0.75/2.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.70
+4% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -11%
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
226 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Vratsa
0W-0D-3L
AWAY CSKA Sofia
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.10.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 2-0 HT 1-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
18.02.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 3-0 HT 2-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
08.05.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 5-1 HT 2-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
POST-MATCH Botev Vratsa vs CSKA Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Vratsa and CSKA Sofia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had CSKA Sofia at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Botev Vratsa and 3.33 for CSKA Sofia.

What was the final score of Botev Vratsa vs CSKA Sofia?

Botev Vratsa 1-1 CSKA Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Vratsa vs CSKA Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Botev Vratsa 20%, draw 23%, CSKA Sofia 57%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CSKA Sofia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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