PSG 1-0 Angers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 5 Apr 2025

PSG
1-0 HT 0-0
Angers
📅05/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

PSG vs Angers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.16
Draw
20%
7.13
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.59
Over 2.5
64%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
8.89
2-3 Goals
34%
2.46
4-5 Goals
31%
2.32
6+ Goals
17%
3.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.24
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
29.0
X/1
20%
4.14
X/2
5%
34.5
X/X
8%
13.4
2/1
7%
20.55
2/2
5%
27.5
2/X
6%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
82%
-16.8pp
20%
Draw
11%
+8.4pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.5pp
36%
Under 2.5
24%
+11.4pp
64%
Over 2.5
76%
-11.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.4pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PSG v Angers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSG EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Angers EU Bookmakers 9%
-6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +9%
2.42/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.78
+13% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +11%
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
540 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 79%
35.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
15.9 Crosses 13.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6

PSG vs Angers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSG
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Angers
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.24 xG 1.09
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
714 Passes 330
92% Pass Accuracy 86%
27 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.11.2024 Angers Angers 2-4 HT 0-4 PSG PSG FR1
21.04.2023 Angers Angers 1-2 HT 0-2 PSG PSG FR1
11.01.2023 PSG PSG 2-0 HT 1-0 Angers Angers FR1
20.04.2022 Angers Angers 0-3 HT 0-2 PSG PSG FR1
15.10.2021 PSG PSG 2-1 HT 0-1 Angers Angers FR1
21.04.2021 PSG PSG 5-0 HT 2-0 Angers Angers FRK

PSG 1-0 Angers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSG
1-0
AWAY Angers
1.92 xG 0.21
81% Ball Possession 19%
20 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 1
891 Passes 158
93% Pass Accuracy 74%
47 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH PSG vs Angers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG squeezed past Angers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had PSG as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PSG had 81% of the ball to Angers's 19%, shots finished 20-4, expected goals 1.92 to 0.21 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold PSG's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for PSG and 0.67 for Angers.

What was the final score of PSG vs Angers?

PSG 1-0 Angers in the France - Ligue 1 on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSG vs Angers?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split PSG 65%, draw 20%, Angers 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSG) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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