Gimhae City 1-3 Gyeongju HNP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.18
Draw
21%
3.04
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
42%
+6.9pp
21%
Draw
29%
-8.1pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimhae City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 32%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +6%
1.05/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.11
-17% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimhae City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Gyeongju HNP
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
26.10.2024 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 2-1 HT 1-0 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
15.06.2024 Gimhae City Gimhae City 0-0 HT 0-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
23.09.2023 Gimhae City Gimhae City 0-1 HT 0-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
27.05.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 2-4 HT 1-1 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
29.10.2022 Gimhae City Gimhae City 1-2 HT 0-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
04.06.2022 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
POST-MATCH Gimhae City vs Gyeongju HNP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongju HNP got the better of Gimhae City 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gimhae City at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gyeongju HNP led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gimhae City and 1.17 for Gyeongju HNP.

What was the final score of Gimhae City vs Gyeongju HNP?

Gimhae City 1-3 Gyeongju HNP in the South Kore - K3 League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimhae City vs Gyeongju HNP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimhae City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Gimhae City 49%, draw 21%, Gyeongju HNP 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gimhae City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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