Paju Citizen 0-0 Ulsan Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.4pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +4%
1.29/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.25
-4% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
329 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paju Citizen
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Ulsan Citizen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
05.10.2024 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 2-0 HT 1-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
08.06.2024 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 1-2 HT 1-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
12.08.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 3-0 HT 1-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
16.04.2023 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 2-0 HT 2-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
09.07.2022 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 0-2 HT 0-1 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
26.03.2022 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 1-3 HT 0-2 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Paju Citizen vs Ulsan Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paju Citizen and Ulsan Citizen played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Paju Citizen at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paju Citizen had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Paju Citizen and 1.17 for Ulsan Citizen.

What was the final score of Paju Citizen vs Ulsan Citizen?

Paju Citizen 0-0 Ulsan Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paju Citizen vs Ulsan Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paju Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Paju Citizen 41%, draw 29%, Ulsan Citizen 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Paju Citizen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paju Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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