Mokpo City 1-3 Busan Transportation — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
42%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 50%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+5.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.3pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mokpo City EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan Transportation EU Bookmakers 39%
-6% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
0.74/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.53
-37% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mokpo City
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Busan Transportation
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
04.10.2024 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 2-0 HT 1-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
08.06.2024 Mokpo City Mokpo City 2-0 HT 0-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
13.08.2023 Mokpo City Mokpo City 2-0 HT 1-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
16.04.2023 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 0-2 HT 0-1 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
21.10.2022 Mokpo City Mokpo City 1-6 HT 1-2 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
09.04.2022 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 2-3 HT 2-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
POST-MATCH Mokpo City vs Busan Transportation
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan Transportation saw off Mokpo City 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Busan Transportation as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mokpo City had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mokpo City and 1.67 for Busan Transportation.

What was the final score of Mokpo City vs Busan Transportation?

Mokpo City 1-3 Busan Transportation in the South Kore - K3 League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mokpo City vs Busan Transportation?

Before kick-off our model rated an Busan Transportation win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mokpo City 34%, draw 25%, Busan Transportation 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Busan Transportation) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Busan Transportation)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GK3L More South Kore - K3 League
5 Apr 2025
08:00 Gimhae City vs Gyeongju HNP Analysis →
08:00 Paju Citizen vs Ulsan Citizen Analysis →