Southern District RSA 0-1 Lee Man — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
18%
3.72
Away
55%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.53
No
37%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+4.3pp
18%
Draw
24%
-5.9pp
55%
Away Win
53%
+1.5pp
63%
BTTS Yes
61%
+1.6pp
37%
BTTS No
39%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southern District RSA EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Lee Man EU Bookmakers 57%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.62/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.57
-53% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +89%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
200 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southern District RSA
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Lee Man
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2025 Lee Man Lee Man 1-1 HT 0-1 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
31.08.2024 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 1-2 HT 1-1 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
27.04.2024 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 0-1 HT 0-0 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
07.10.2023 Lee Man Lee Man 3-2 HT 1-2 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
18.02.2023 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 0-2 HT 0-0 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
10.12.2022 Lee Man Lee Man 0-2 HT 0-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HONFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southern District RSA
0-1
AWAY Lee Man
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Southern District RSA vs Lee Man
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lee Man nicked a narrow win over Southern District RSA 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lee Man as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Southern District RSA had 57% of the ball to Lee Man's 43%, shots finished 10-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lee Man led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Southern District RSA and 1.50 for Lee Man.

What was the final score of Southern District RSA vs Lee Man?

Southern District RSA 0-1 Lee Man in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southern District RSA vs Lee Man?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lee Man win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Southern District RSA 28%, draw 18%, Lee Man 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lee Man) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lee Man) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HK1 More Hong Kong - Premier League
5 Apr 2025
13:00 Kitchee vs North District Analysis →