FC Astana 2-1 Ordabasy Shymkent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
17%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
59%
+1.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
17%
Away Win
17%
+0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.5pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Astana EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 21%
-10% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.87/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/2.13
+0% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Astana
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
22.09.2024 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 2-4 HT 2-2 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
16.06.2024 FC Astana FC Astana 0-1 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
24.09.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
06.07.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZKK
28.06.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 1-0 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZKK
02.04.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 2-0 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
POST-MATCH FC Astana vs Ordabasy Shymkent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Astana nicked a narrow win over Ordabasy Shymkent 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Astana as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Astana had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Astana and 1.00 for Ordabasy Shymkent.

What was the final score of FC Astana vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

FC Astana 2-1 Ordabasy Shymkent in the Kazakistan - Super League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Astana vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split FC Astana 60%, draw 22%, Ordabasy Shymkent 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Astana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Astana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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