Ordabasy Shymkent 2-4 FC Astana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.2pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.4pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Astana EU Bookmakers 40%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.15/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.19
-1% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent
2W-0D-4L
AWAY FC Astana
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
16.06.2024 FC Astana FC Astana 0-1 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
24.09.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
06.07.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZKK
28.06.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 1-0 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZKK
02.04.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 2-0 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
25.02.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 2-1 HT 2-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZSK
POST-MATCH Ordabasy Shymkent vs FC Astana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Astana got the better of Ordabasy Shymkent 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 36%) promised a tight game; FC Astana found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Astana led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ordabasy Shymkent and 1.17 for FC Astana.

What was the final score of Ordabasy Shymkent vs FC Astana?

Ordabasy Shymkent 2-4 FC Astana in the Kazakistan - Super League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ordabasy Shymkent vs FC Astana?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ordabasy Shymkent 33%, draw 31%, FC Astana 36%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Astana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Astana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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