Tobol 3-0 Aktobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 22 Sep 2024

Tobol
3-0 HT 1-0
Aktobe
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Kazakistan - Super League – 2024

Tobol vs Aktobe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+7.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tobol v Aktobe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tobol EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Aktobe EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.16/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.13
-14% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.4

Tobol vs Aktobe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tobol
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Aktobe
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2 Corners 3
The Meetings
30.06.2024 Aktobe Aktobe 3-4 HT 1-2 Tobol Tobol KAZP
20.08.2023 Aktobe Aktobe 1-1 HT 0-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
23.04.2023 Tobol Tobol 2-2 HT 0-1 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
15.10.2022 Tobol Tobol 1-0 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
16.07.2022 Tobol Tobol 2-1 HT 2-1 Aktobe Aktobe KAZKK
14.05.2022 Aktobe Aktobe 2-1 HT 0-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
POST-MATCH Tobol vs Aktobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tobol ran out comfortable winners over Aktobe 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Tobol found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tobol had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Tobol and 1.50 for Aktobe.

What was the final score of Tobol vs Aktobe?

Tobol 3-0 Aktobe in the Kazakistan - Super League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tobol vs Aktobe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tobol 38%, draw 25%, Aktobe 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tobol), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tobol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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