Shakhter Karagandy 1-2 Yelimay Semey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.71
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
52%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
+6.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
52%
Away Win
58%
-6.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.0pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhter Karagandy EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 62%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+3% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
246 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhter Karagandy
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Yelimay Semey
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
12.05.2024 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey 2-1 HT 1-0 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
14.04.2024 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey 2-1 HT 0-0 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZKK
POST-MATCH Shakhter Karagandy vs Yelimay Semey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yelimay Semey edged past Shakhter Karagandy 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Yelimay Semey as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Yelimay Semey led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shakhter Karagandy and 2.00 for Yelimay Semey.

What was the final score of Shakhter Karagandy vs Yelimay Semey?

Shakhter Karagandy 1-2 Yelimay Semey in the Kazakistan - Super League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhter Karagandy vs Yelimay Semey?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yelimay Semey win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Shakhter Karagandy 24%, draw 23%, Yelimay Semey 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yelimay Semey) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yelimay Semey) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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