FK Turan 1-0 Kyzyl-Zhar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.52
Over 2.5
48%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
62%
-10.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Turan EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.09/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/0.46
+3% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +122%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Turan
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
04.05.2024 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Turan FK Turan KAZP
27.08.2022 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 3-1 HT 0-0 FK Turan FK Turan KAZP
10.04.2022 FK Turan FK Turan 0-0 HT 0-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
26.09.2021 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Turan FK Turan KAZP
09.05.2021 FK Turan FK Turan 1-0 HT 0-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
POST-MATCH FK Turan vs Kyzyl-Zhar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Turan squeezed past Kyzyl-Zhar 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; FK Turan found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, FK Turan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for FK Turan and 0.60 for Kyzyl-Zhar.

What was the final score of FK Turan vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

FK Turan 1-0 Kyzyl-Zhar in the Kazakistan - Super League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Turan vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Turan win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FK Turan 37%, draw 26%, Kyzyl-Zhar 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5
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