FC Sheriff 2-1 CSF Balti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.32
Draw
15%
4.49
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.71
Over 2.5
54%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.75
No
59%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
71%
-2.6pp
16%
Draw
19%
-3.6pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+6.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
55%
-8.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
45%
+8.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
32%
+9.3pp
59%
BTTS No
68%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY CSF Balti EU Bookmakers 12%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.09/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/2.02
-18% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +20%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
391 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 169 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sheriff
5W-0D-1L
AWAY CSF Balti
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 4-1 HT 3-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLDK
21.09.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 1-0 HT 0-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
18.05.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-1 HT 1-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
13.04.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-0 HT 1-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
03.12.2023 CSF Balti CSF Balti 3-1 HT 1-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
30.09.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 4-0 HT 3-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sheriff
2-1
AWAY CSF Balti
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 2
8 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH FC Sheriff vs CSF Balti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sheriff nicked a narrow win over CSF Balti 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Sheriff as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Sheriff had 65% of the ball to CSF Balti's 35%, shots finished 17-2.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for FC Sheriff and 0.83 for CSF Balti.

What was the final score of FC Sheriff vs CSF Balti?

FC Sheriff 2-1 CSF Balti in the Moldova - National League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sheriff vs CSF Balti?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split FC Sheriff 69%, draw 16%, CSF Balti 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sheriff), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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