Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 Sportivo Trinidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.3pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 37%
+10% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
1.16/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.23
+2% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
234 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.00 xG 1.13
55% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
287 Passes 159
68% Pass Accuracy 53%
33 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
25.01.2025 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-2 HT 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
19.10.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
10.08.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 3-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
18.05.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-2 HT 0-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
26.02.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
15.10.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PARK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
0-1
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Trinidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Trinidense nicked a narrow win over Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Sportivo Trinidense found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sportivo Ameliano had 54% of the ball to Sportivo Trinidense's 46%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sportivo Ameliano and 1.17 for Sportivo Trinidense.

What was the final score of Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 Sportivo Trinidense in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sportivo Trinidense win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Ameliano 34%, draw 29%, Sportivo Trinidense 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sportivo Trinidense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sportivo Trinidense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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