Binacional 1-1 Ayacucho FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.1
Over 2.5
43%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.63
No
56%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+13.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-13.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
57%
-13.1pp
56%
BTTS No
43%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Binacional EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayacucho FC EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.54/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.65
+33% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
22.6 Crosses 15.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Binacional
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Ayacucho FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.52 xG 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
276 Passes 251
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.08.2022 Binacional Binacional 4-1 HT 0-0 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
13.03.2022 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 2-3 HT 1-1 Binacional Binacional PER
27.08.2021 Binacional Binacional 3-1 HT 2-0 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
24.09.2020 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Binacional Binacional PER
24.08.2019 Binacional Binacional 2-1 HT 1-0 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
08.03.2019 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 3-2 HT 2-1 Binacional Binacional PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Binacional
1-1
AWAY Ayacucho FC
1.03 xG 1.31
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
286 Passes 208
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Binacional vs Ayacucho FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Binacional and Ayacucho FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Binacional at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Binacional had 57% of the ball to Ayacucho FC's 43%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.03 to 1.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Binacional had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Binacional and 1.50 for Ayacucho FC.

What was the final score of Binacional vs Ayacucho FC?

Binacional 1-1 Ayacucho FC in the Peru - Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Binacional vs Ayacucho FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Binacional win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Binacional 52%, draw 25%, Ayacucho FC 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Binacional), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Binacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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