Atletico Grau 1-1 Cienciano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.9pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Grau EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Cienciano EU Bookmakers 22%
-7% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +22%
1.56/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.33
+13% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 72%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
27.7 Crosses 17.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Grau
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cienciano
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.85 xG 1.13
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
336 Passes 237
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2024 Cienciano Cienciano 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
09.03.2024 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 1-1 HT 0-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
30.09.2023 Cienciano Cienciano 2-0 HT 2-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
21.05.2023 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 4-0 HT 3-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
20.08.2022 Cienciano Cienciano 2-2 HT 0-2 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
03.04.2022 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 1-2 HT 0-1 Cienciano Cienciano PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Grau
1-1
AWAY Cienciano
0.65 xG 1.53
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
253 Passes 195
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
13 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Atletico Grau vs Cienciano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Grau and Cienciano shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Grau at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Grau had 54% of the ball to Cienciano's 46%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.65 to 1.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cienciano led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Grau and 1.33 for Cienciano.

What was the final score of Atletico Grau vs Cienciano?

Atletico Grau 1-1 Cienciano in the Peru - Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Grau vs Cienciano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Grau win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Atletico Grau 48%, draw 26%, Cienciano 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Grau), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Grau) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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