Melgar vs ADT Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Melgar v ADT — Team-Based Signals
Melgar vs ADT Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
ADT
PER
0-0
HT 0-0
Melgar
PER
1-1
HT 1-0
Melgar
PER
3-0
HT 2-0
ADT
PER
Melgar 4-0 ADT — Actual Match Statistics
Melgar swept aside ADT 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Melgar as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Melgar had 58% of the ball to ADT's 42%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 3.26 to 0.39.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melgar had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Melgar and 0.50 for ADT.
What was the final score of Melgar vs ADT?
Melgar 4-0 ADT in the Peru - Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Melgar vs ADT?
Before kick-off our model rated a Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Melgar 53%, draw 23%, ADT 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melgar), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.