Sport Huancayo 0-3 Deportivo Garcilaso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒04:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.3pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Huancayo EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.28/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.39
+1% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +39%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 77%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
20.5 Crosses 15.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Huancayo
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
1.32 xG 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
369 Passes 220
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.07.2024 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
05.02.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 0-2 HT 0-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
21.09.2023 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
29.04.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 1-1 HT 1-1 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Huancayo
0-3
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso
0.94 xG 1.60
75% Ball Possession 25%
21 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
366 Passes 77
82% Pass Accuracy 51%
26 Box Touches 17
32 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Sport Huancayo vs Deportivo Garcilaso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Garcilaso swept aside Sport Huancayo 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Deportivo Garcilaso made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sport Huancayo had 75% of the ball to Deportivo Garcilaso's 25%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 0.94 to 1.60.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sport Huancayo had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sport Huancayo and 0.25 for Deportivo Garcilaso.

What was the final score of Sport Huancayo vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Sport Huancayo 0-3 Deportivo Garcilaso in the Peru - Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Huancayo vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Huancayo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sport Huancayo 39%, draw 26%, Deportivo Garcilaso 35%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Sport Huancayo), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sport Huancayo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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