Cienciano 1-0 Atletico Grau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cienciano EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Grau EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.23/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.70
-32% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 70%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
19.4 Crosses 16.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cienciano
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Atletico Grau
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.06 xG 1.04
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
242 Passes 348
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2024 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 1-1 HT 0-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
30.09.2023 Cienciano Cienciano 2-0 HT 2-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
21.05.2023 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 4-0 HT 3-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
20.08.2022 Cienciano Cienciano 2-2 HT 0-2 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
03.04.2022 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 1-2 HT 0-1 Cienciano Cienciano PER
20.11.2020 Cienciano Cienciano 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cienciano
1-0
AWAY Atletico Grau
1.38 xG 0.47
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
281 Passes 323
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 9
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cienciano vs Atletico Grau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cienciano nicked a narrow win over Atletico Grau 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cienciano as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cienciano had 47% of the ball to Atletico Grau's 53%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.38 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cienciano had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cienciano and 1.33 for Atletico Grau.

What was the final score of Cienciano vs Atletico Grau?

Cienciano 1-0 Atletico Grau in the Peru - Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cienciano vs Atletico Grau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cienciano win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cienciano 41%, draw 30%, Atletico Grau 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cienciano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cienciano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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